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assets and issue stock in a new company, stock issuance prices may be depressed because of <br />investors' perceptions of a glutted market. Depressed prices suggest the existence of stranded <br />costs, which will be assigned to ratepayers in the form of non-bypassable charges beginning in <br />2004. <br /> <br />Electric Prices In The Competitive Market Sever Ail Links Between Costs and <br />Prices. <br /> <br /> In addition to the problems described above, the pricing of electricity in the competitive <br />market place is based on the commodity trading format developed for the natural gas market, not <br />the price of power generated in Texas. As a result of the Public Utility Commission's decision to <br />tie electric prices to natural gas prices, the accumulated knowledge of decades of wholesale <br />electric power transactions has no relevance to the electric restructuring model in Texas. <br />Because there is no market index for electricity, traders must use a proxy like the natural gas <br />market. Price quotes based upon natural gas prices are only available for 24 to 48 hours, severely <br />restricting or eliminating the ability to shop an "apples to apples" price comparison. <br /> <br /> In short, Texas' model of deregulation thus far has severed all links between actual <br />production costs and prices paid by retail customers (at the expense of the customer). Nowhere <br />is the dichotomy more apparent than in the EPCOT marketplace. Generators associated with <br />Reliant and AEP have removed power plants from service because, they claimed, excess <br />generation capacity in ERCOT caused wholesale power prices to be so low that it was infeasible <br />to continue operating these plants. Simultaneous with the generators' announcement, the <br />affiliated REPs received approval from the Public Utility Commission to increase Price to Beat <br />rates on the basis that rising gas prices threatened their ability to compete against the Price to <br />Beat. The retail market has been forced into a gas spot market pricing scenario, while the REPs' <br />affiliated generation companies take advantage of significant non-gas generating assets, portfolio <br />gas purchasing strategies, stranded costs recovery and limited competitive generation. <br /> <br /> Whether it is a power shortage in California or a power surplus in Texas, electric industry <br />restructuring does not address a key fact - that deregulation does not necessarily result in <br />competition and lower prices for end use customers. If true retail competition does not develop, <br />rates will not fall. Meanwhile, during a tune when all market indicators point to low wholesale <br />prices, customers face rising retail prices. <br /> <br />1813\00~ac~uno030113grog 11 <br /> <br /> <br />